Doing Nothing With Love Is Best Option
General manager Brian Gutekunst’s choice to pick up free safety Darnell Savage’s fifth-year option last May seemed highly questionable at the time. The former Maryland star was coming off his worst season and hadn’t come close to living up to expectations since being drafted 21st overall in 2019. Ten months, a benching, and a position change later, the decision looks downright stupid. The Packers are now stuck with an almost $8 million nickel corner or backup in 2023.
What makes the Savage saga even worse is how easy it was to avoid. Gutekunst could’ve allowed the 25-year-0ld to play out the final year of his rookie deal and then decided on whether to keep him or let him go. On the remote chance that Savage suddenly blossomed from a mediocre starter to a star, the Packers could’ve extended him at any time before the start of free agency in March or, if worse came to worst, slapped him with the franchise tag. The cost would be $12.4M, but paying him that after a Pro Bowl-caliber season would’ve been far more palatable than paying him $8M after a poor one.
Gutekunst has another fifth-year option to consider in May, and while many members of the media are making it seem like a difficult choice, it couldn’t be simpler. There’s absolutely no way he should guarantee Jordan Love $20M for 2024. Even if 39-year-0ld Aaron Rodgers retires or is traded in the coming weeks and the former No. 1 pick from Utah State is finally handed the keys to the car, the only decision that makes sense is to do nothing and see what transpires next season.
If Love bombs as the starter, there’s no harm done. He goes on his way, and Green Bay can draft his replacement with what would likely be a top-10 pick in 2024. And if he plays well or at least shows legitimate potential, Gutekunst has the option of extending him during the season or, if worse comes to worst, using the franchise tag to keep him from going to another team. Shelling out an extra $12M for the quarterback of the future would be a heck of a lot easier to accept than guaranteeing $20M to the next DeShone Kizer, the prospect Love reminded me of most while watching tape in 2020.
So what happens if the Packers decide to keep Rodgers around in 2023? In that scenario, Gutekunst could either trade Love in the coming months, attempt to sign him to a short-term extension to keep him from becoming a free agent a year from now, or simply let him walk after next season. The third option would be the least appealing, but plenty of No. 1 picks haven’t received a second contract from the team that drafted them, including a half-dozen quarterbacks since 2015.
OK, this is what I think should happen. What do I think will happen? My guess is that Gutekunst will exercise the fifth-year option. Doing otherwise would suggest trading up for Love was a big mistake, and all the crap with Rodgers that ensued from that decision was unnecessary. A strong and confident GM like Ron Wolf or Ted Thompson wouldn’t care about perception, but as Gutekunst showed by handing the underachieving Savage $8M, saving face seems to matter to him.
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