Preview: Packers vs. Lions

It’s still difficult to believe the Green Bay Packers are one win away from making the playoffs for the fourth straight season under coach Matt LaFleur. Just a month and a half ago, they weren’t only a 4-8 team, but they were a bad 4-8 team.

Thanks to getting hot at the right time and implosions by the Commanders and Seahawks, beating Detroit at Lambeau Field on Sunday night is all that stands in the way of what figures to be another January showdown with the NFC West champion 49ers. The teams have already met four times in the postseason since 2013, including twice in the past three years.


PREDICTION: The Lions would be eliminated from the playoffs if Seattle wins earlier in the day. Conventional wisdom suggests that would benefit the Packers, but I disagree. While nerves would likely affect a young team in a play-in game, a Dan Campbell-led squad with nothing to lose might be even more dangerous. Onside kicks, fake punts, etc., could come at any time.

Regardless of what happens between Seattle and the Rams earlier in the day, Green Bay’s front seven will still have to deal with one of the best offensive lines in the league. Things won’t be nearly as easy for Kenny Clark and company as they were a week ago against a Vikings’ group that was missing its top two centers and starting right tackle. If Detroit can control the line of scrimmage on offense, there’s a pretty good chance this game will be close going into the fourth quarter.

The Lions have recently been almost as hot as the Packers, but they play much better at home. They went 5-4 at Ford Field, including very close losses to Philly, Minnesota, and Buffalo, and they averaged over 33 points per game. On the road, they are 3-4 and are averaging 19 points. And for what it’s worth, Detroit has lost 27 of 30 at Lambeau Field since 1992.

The Packers are favored by 4.5, and while I still don’t completely trust them, I find it hard to believe they’ve come this far just to blow it against a dome team that struggles in the cold. GREEN BAY 27-19 (Record: 9-7 straight-up; 8-7-1 vs. spread)


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Michael Rodney

Packers Notes is the creation of Michael Rodney, who has been writing about the Green Bay Packers for over 30 years. His first blog, Packer Update, hit the internet in 2004. Before becoming a public educator, Rodney worked as a journalist for a couple of newspapers in his home state of New Jersey and covered the Philadelphia Eagles for WTXF-TV. He's had numerous articles on the Packers published, and he's been featured on both television and radio over the years.

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January 8, 2023 8:08 am

We disagreed several weeks ago about the best thing for the Packers but I never expected to be playing a meaningful game in January.
Weather is supposed to be mid 20s at game time with winds around 8 mph. Rodgers hasn’t looked comfortable in real cold weather lately. Cold but not too bad by Green Bay standards.
I really wish the NFL would have put this on at the same time as the seahawk game but I guess they couldn’t resist the draw of the Packers and Aaron Rodgers.

January 8, 2023 11:18 am

I have no idea if the Packers are even a good team, but it’s nice having a meaningful game in Week 18. That seemed impossible not too long ago.

January 8, 2023 11:28 am

No excuses tonight. I believe every Packers player practiced on Friday, and the only one iffy for the game is Deguara. It would be nice to see them beat the crap out of the Lions and roll into the wild card game with all kinds of momentum.

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